Brescia vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 1
REZ
71%
18%
12%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
ASC
0 - 0
BRE
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BRE
0 - 2
EMP
22%
26%
53%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CTT
2 - 2
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 2
FRO
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
CTT
2 - 0
LEO
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
LEO
2 - 1
TER
36%
28%
37%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SPE
5 - 1
LEO
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 2
VNZ
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 0
PAR
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |