Brescia vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRE
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
NOV
4 - 2
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 0
VIR
68%
20%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
EMP
1 - 1
BRE
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 2
PAD
19%
26%
55%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 1
LEO
45%
29%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 4
JUS
26%
30%
44%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
CTT
3 - 0
LEO
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
LEO
70%
21%
10%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |