Brescia vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
BRE
0 - 1
ASC
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
EMP
1 - 1
BRE
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 1
CTT
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
FRO
2 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 0
SAL
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 1
TER
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
SPE
1 - 0
AVE
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
ASC
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CTT
2 - 2
AVE
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
CAR
38%
30%
33%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |