Brescia vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 2
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BRE
4 - 2
CAT
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SPE
4 - 1
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 0
VIC
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 0
CTT
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 1
TRA
44%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 1
AVE
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 2
PES
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 0
AVE
44%
27%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 1
ACD
56%
26%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |