Brescia vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
32%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32%
34.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
COS
3 - 0
BRE
49%
28%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
BRE
2 - 0
PIA
48%
30%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
MES
0 - 0
BRE
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
BRE
0 - 0
PAR
45%
32%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 0
BRE
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
AVE
2 - 0
UDI
45%
29%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
TAR
0 - 0
AVE
30%
33%
38%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
SSS
1 - 1
AVE
28%
35%
38%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
AVE
0 - 0
SSB
62%
24%
14%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
USC
1 - 1
AVE
40%
30%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |