Brescia vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ROM
4 - 1
BRE
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
RIM
3 - 2
BRE
50%
23%
28%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
BRE
0 - 2
BOL
34%
26%
39%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
BRI
1 - 1
BRE
36%
32%
32%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 1
GEN
54%
28%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
AVE
1 - 1
ROM
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
AVE
2 - 2
RIM
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
BOL
3 - 2
AVE
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 5
AVE
59%
26%
15%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAT
61%
25%
14%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |