Brescia vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 0
BRE
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 1
PAR
56%
28%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
BRE
65%
23%
12%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 0
USF
45%
31%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRE
58%
26%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 1
ASC
47%
23%
30%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
AVE
1 - 0
GEN
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 0
AVE
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
PES
1 - 1
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |