Brescia vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAR
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
FCC
2 - 1
BRE
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
PAL
2 - 0
BRE
55%
23%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 2
VNZ
57%
24%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 0
VER
62%
22%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
NOV
1 - 1
USA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
USA
4 - 2
MES
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
USA
0 - 3
FCC
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
MAN
1 - 0
USA
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
USA
1 - 1
TRI
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |