Brescia vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
VNZ
1 - 2
BRE
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
BRE
2 - 2
TRI
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
BRE
1 - 0
FIO
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
TOR
4 - 0
BRE
84%
11%
6%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
BRE
0 - 1
LIV
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
USA
4 - 1
LIV
32%
24%
44%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
USA
1 - 0
INT
23%
24%
53%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
VNZ
1 - 1
USA
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
USA
0 - 1
SAM
28%
22%
49%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1946 |
FIO
2 - 0
USA
81%
12%
8%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |