UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Brescia vs Tatabánya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
BRE
3 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
ACM
1 - 1
BRE
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 1
VIC
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
PRG
2 - 2
BRE
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
BRE
0 - 0
BOL
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tatabánya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
TAT
4 - 0
TIT
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
TIT
1 - 1
TAT
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
SHI
1 - 3
TAT
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
UJP
1 - 1
TAT
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
TAT
2 - 3
SHI
36%
24%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |