Brescia vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
ASS
1 - 0
BRE
58%
26%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
BRE
1 - 1
VER
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
BAR
3 - 0
BRE
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 0
SAM
64%
23%
14%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
MAT
0 - 1
BRE
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
ATL
0 - 0
TAR
67%
23%
10%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
TAR
0 - 2
TER
44%
31%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
GEN
2 - 1
TAR
65%
23%
11%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
TAR
0 - 1
PIS
47%
31%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
TAR
1 - 2
PAL
38%
32%
30%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |