Brescia vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
REG
1 - 1
BRE
60%
26%
14%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
NOV
51%
28%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
FCC
2 - 0
BRE
60%
27%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
COM
48%
30%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
BRI
1 - 0
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
TAR
0 - 0
GEN
38%
34%
28%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
ASC
1 - 0
TAR
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
TAR
1 - 0
ARZ
46%
31%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
TAR
0 - 1
ASS
52%
29%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 1
TAR
54%
29%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |