Brescia vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 6
BRE
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
BRE
1 - 1
USC
71%
17%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
BRE
3 - 1
UNI
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SIR
2 - 2
BRE
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
CAT
1 - 1
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
TAR
1 - 3
REG
35%
23%
42%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
TAR
1 - 2
LIV
40%
24%
37%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
USC
3 - 0
TAR
62%
20%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
TAR
2 - 1
PRO
83%
10%
6%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
TAR
2 - 1
PIS
59%
20%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |