Brescia vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
18%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
BRE
0 - 0
TAR
56%
27%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
SSB
0 - 0
BRE
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
BRE
0 - 0
BOL
49%
29%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
PAD
3 - 0
BRE
53%
28%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAR
51%
29%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
SSS
1 - 0
TRI
43%
32%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
ATL
4 - 1
SSS
59%
27%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAD
43%
32%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
MOD
2 - 2
SSS
46%
30%
24%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
SSS
1 - 0
LEC
39%
32%
29%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |