Brescia vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
BRE
3 - 0
AVE
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ROM
4 - 1
BRE
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
RIM
3 - 2
BRE
50%
23%
28%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
BRE
0 - 2
BOL
34%
26%
39%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
BRI
1 - 1
BRE
36%
32%
32%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
ASS
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
SSS
1 - 2
VER
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
JUV
4 - 0
SSS
89%
8%
3%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 0
SSS
72%
17%
12%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
TER
0 - 0
SSS
58%
25%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |