Brescia vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
VNZ
1 - 1
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEC
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
BRE
2 - 2
REG
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
CAG
2 - 2
BRE
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 3
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
SSS
1 - 0
VER
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
SSS
3 - 0
MOD
44%
27%
30%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
MAN
1 - 0
SSS
65%
19%
15%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
LEC
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
TRI
2 - 0
SSS
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |