Brescia vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
REG
1 - 1
BRE
47%
30%
23%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
BRE
0 - 1
LAZ
54%
26%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
PIS
1 - 0
BRE
51%
29%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
BRE
0 - 2
LEC
69%
21%
11%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
PES
1 - 0
BRE
46%
31%
23%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 0
PRG
38%
29%
34%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
SSS
1 - 0
SPA
48%
31%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAL
54%
25%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
LAZ
1 - 2
SPA
67%
22%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |