Brescia vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
VNZ
1 - 2
BRE
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
BAR
2 - 2
BRE
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAD
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
LEC
1 - 0
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASS
64%
21%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
SPA
0 - 0
USA
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
LEC
3 - 0
SPA
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
SPA
1 - 1
ASS
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
SPA
1 - 1
VER
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
PAR
1 - 2
SPA
31%
31%
39%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |