Brescia vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
CAT
1 - 0
BRE
51%
22%
27%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
MES
4 - 1
BRE
53%
21%
26%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
BRE
2 - 0
VNZ
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
BRE
0 - 1
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
USC
1 - 1
BRE
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 2
FAN
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
TRE
2 - 0
SPA
33%
22%
45%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
SPA
4 - 0
SER
83%
11%
7%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
SPA
3 - 0
PIS
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
VER
1 - 4
SPA
41%
22%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |