Brescia vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
BRE
1 - 0
NAP
36%
24%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
JUV
3 - 0
BRE
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
BRE
1 - 0
LAZ
52%
22%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
BOL
6 - 1
BRE
74%
16%
11%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
BRE
4 - 2
GEN
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACM
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 1
ROM
50%
21%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
ROM
0 - 0
BAR
83%
10%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
TOR
2 - 1
ROM
47%
22%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
ROM
2 - 1
INT
61%
19%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |