Brescia vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ROM
5 - 0
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 1
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 1
VIL
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
VIL
2 - 0
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
BRI
1 - 1
BRE
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
EMP
1 - 1
REG
46%
25%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
REG
2 - 2
SAM
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2003 |
ATL
1 - 2
REG
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
REG
0 - 0
ATL
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
BOL
0 - 2
REG
62%
21%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |