Brescia vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
NAP
2 - 0
BRE
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
BRE
2 - 1
TRE
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
ATL
1 - 1
BRE
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEC
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
COS
1 - 1
BRE
27%
28%
46%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
REG
3 - 1
CES
58%
26%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
REG
1 - 1
REG
34%
30%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
REG
1 - 0
TRE
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
USC
0 - 2
REG
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
REG
0 - 0
VER
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |