Brescia vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 1
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 0
CRO
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CTT
1 - 1
BRE
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 2
PAD
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 3
BRE
29%
27%
45%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
PIA
1 - 0
PAD
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 3
PIA
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 0
PIA
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
PIA
0 - 0
EMP
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
CES
3 - 0
PIA
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |