Brescia vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
BRE
3 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
JUV
5 - 0
BRE
70%
19%
12%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
BRE
3 - 0
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
INT
2 - 1
BRE
67%
19%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
BRE
0 - 0
VER
58%
23%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
PIA
3 - 0
VER
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
INT
3 - 1
PIA
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PIA
0 - 1
JUV
26%
27%
48%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
BOL
1 - 2
PIA
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
PIA
3 - 0
FIO
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |