Brescia vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 2
ASG
77%
17%
6%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
BRE
31%
29%
40%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
CTT
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 0
BRE
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PES
1 - 0
CTT
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 1
PES
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PES
5 - 3
ABN
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
JUS
3 - 2
PES
31%
27%
43%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
REG
4 - 2
PES
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |