Brescia vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
BRE
18%
25%
57%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 0
ASC
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 2
FRO
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CRO
0 - 1
BRE
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 1
USA
77%
16%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PRG
0 - 1
BEN
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
USA
1 - 2
PRG
22%
26%
52%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PRG
0 - 0
USC
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
NUO
1 - 2
PRG
23%
27%
50%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PRG
3 - 0
FRO
36%
29%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |