Brescia vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 0
REG
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CTT
1 - 0
BRE
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 1
SPA
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 1
BRE
41%
26%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAR
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2022 |
PRG
1 - 0
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
TER
1 - 0
PRG
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
PRG
2 - 1
PAR
39%
27%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
VIC
1 - 2
PRG
27%
28%
46%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PRG
1 - 1
PIS
36%
27%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |