Brescia vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 2
BRE
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
BRE
2 - 1
REG
55%
28%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
REG
2 - 1
BRE
38%
34%
28%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
BRE
2 - 0
TAR
55%
27%
17%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 0
BRE
53%
29%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
PRG
0 - 1
VAR
33%
33%
34%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
BRI
0 - 0
PRG
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
PRG
1 - 3
ASC
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 1
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
PRG
1 - 1
PAR
47%
32%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |