Brescia vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
PIS
0 - 0
BRE
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 0
VIC
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
BRE
16%
24%
61%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 2
BEN
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 1
BRE
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 3
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NUO
1 - 3
PAR
19%
25%
56%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
LEC
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
VIC
0 - 1
PAR
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
CTT
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |