Brescia vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
REG
3 - 1
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASC
34%
27%
38%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
MON
1 - 2
BRE
29%
27%
45%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1988 |
BRE
0 - 0
EMP
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
ARZ
1 - 1
BRE
36%
34%
30%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
PAR
2 - 1
MON
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
REG
0 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
PAR
1 - 2
INT
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
LEC
3 - 2
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
PAR
1 - 1
LAZ
45%
32%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |