Brescia vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
FCC
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 3
BRE
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
BAR
62%
26%
13%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
ASC
2 - 0
BRE
65%
23%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 2
PRG
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 1
PAR
72%
20%
9%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
ATL
1 - 1
PAR
59%
28%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
PAR
2 - 2
VAR
43%
30%
27%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 1
BAR
65%
24%
12%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |