Brescia vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
BRE
0 - 0
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 1
BRE
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
BRE
1 - 1
VNZ
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
LEC
2 - 0
BRE
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
REG
0 - 0
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
PAR
1 - 0
FCC
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
MOD
4 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
PAR
1 - 0
TAR
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
PAR
0 - 2
TOR
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
ASS
2 - 1
PAR
64%
20%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |