Brescia vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
VNZ
1 - 1
BRE
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
VER
3 - 0
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
BRE
0 - 0
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAT
55%
24%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
TAR
1 - 0
BRE
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
PAR
3 - 1
COM
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 2
NOV
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
MES
3 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 0
ATL
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
PAL
7 - 1
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |