UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 1-1
Brescia vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2001 |
PSG
0 - 0
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 2
CHM
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
CHM
1 - 2
BRE
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
TAT
1 - 1
BRE
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 1
TAT
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
MON
2 - 2
PSG
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
PSG
1 - 0
SOC
66%
20%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2001 |
PSG
0 - 0
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
AUX
1 - 1
PSG
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
PSG
7 - 1
GEN
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |