Brescia vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAL
56%
26%
17%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
RIM
2 - 0
BRE
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
BRE
2 - 1
PES
62%
24%
14%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
COM
1 - 1
BRE
67%
23%
10%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 2
ATL
56%
27%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
VAR
3 - 1
NOV
64%
24%
12%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
NOV
2 - 1
CAT
56%
28%
16%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
TER
0 - 0
NOV
65%
23%
12%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
NOV
1 - 1
TAR
48%
30%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
ASC
1 - 0
NOV
63%
26%
11%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |