Brescia vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
20.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
FCC
2 - 0
BRE
60%
27%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
COM
48%
30%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
BRI
1 - 0
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
BRE
1 - 1
GEN
48%
31%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
USF
2 - 0
BRE
62%
25%
13%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 0
REG
65%
23%
12%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
ARZ
1 - 1
NOV
45%
31%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 2
GEN
51%
29%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAT
54%
28%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
FCC
1 - 1
NOV
57%
27%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |