Brescia vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
LIV
0 - 0
BRE
27%
36%
37%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
BRE
3 - 1
REG
62%
25%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
CAT
1 - 0
BRE
45%
31%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
BRE
0 - 0
USF
54%
27%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
GEN
1 - 0
BRE
42%
32%
26%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
NOV
1 - 2
CAT
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
NOV
1 - 0
GEN
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
USF
1 - 0
NOV
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
NOV
1 - 1
BAR
51%
28%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
LIV
1 - 3
NOV
32%
36%
33%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |