Brescia vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
TOR
1 - 1
BRE
72%
16%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
BRE
0 - 0
ACM
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
TAR
0 - 0
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
MES
0 - 0
BRE
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
BRE
4 - 6
MOD
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
NOV
1 - 0
FCC
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
NOV
0 - 0
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
MOD
1 - 0
NOV
54%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
MAN
0 - 0
NOV
64%
20%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
SAM
1 - 0
NOV
82%
12%
7%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |