Brescia vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.8%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
16%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
42.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
BRE
0 - 0
ATL
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
PAL
0 - 1
BRE
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BRE
1 - 0
ALV
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
GEN
2 - 1
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
NAP
3 - 1
CES
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
NAP
2 - 1
VIC
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
TAR
0 - 1
NAP
15%
27%
59%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
LAZ
0 - 2
NAP
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
SPA
0 - 2
NAP
20%
27%
53%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |