Brescia vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1950 |
BRE
4 - 0
VIC
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
SPA
2 - 1
BRE
56%
20%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
REG
3 - 2
BRE
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
BRE
0 - 1
VER
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
TAR
2 - 2
BRE
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1950 |
NAP
1 - 1
VER
64%
19%
18%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
USC
1 - 3
NAP
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
NAP
1 - 0
SIR
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
LIV
1 - 0
NAP
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
NAP
3 - 1
REG
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |