Brescia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.6%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRE
53%
28%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
ATL
1 - 1
BRE
46%
31%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
BRE
4 - 2
SSS
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
PIA
1 - 3
BRE
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
BRE
3 - 1
AVE
56%
27%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
ATL
46%
30%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
REG
0 - 0
MOD
58%
25%
18%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
40%
33%
28%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
AVE
1 - 1
MOD
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 1
SPA
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |