Brescia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BRE
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 0
REG
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1969 |
ROM
3 - 0
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
ASS
2 - 0
BRE
29%
31%
41%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
BRE
2 - 2
BAR
64%
23%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 1
CAT
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
LIV
2 - 0
MOD
54%
28%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |