Brescia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 2
BRE
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
VNZ
1 - 1
BRE
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
VER
3 - 0
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
BRE
0 - 0
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
TAR
2 - 1
MOD
55%
24%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
MOD
0 - 2
VNZ
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
MOD
0 - 0
PAL
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
LEC
2 - 0
MOD
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
ASS
0 - 1
MOD
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |