Brescia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
INT
5 - 0
BRE
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1932 |
BRE
0 - 1
FIO
27%
21%
52%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1932 |
USA
3 - 2
BRE
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1932 |
ROM
3 - 1
BRE
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1932 |
NAP
1 - 1
BRE
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1932 |
MOD
5 - 2
TOR
33%
22%
45%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1932 |
PRO
3 - 1
MOD
45%
23%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1932 |
MOD
2 - 3
ROM
37%
24%
40%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1932 |
MOD
3 - 1
LAZ
45%
23%
32%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1932 |
USA
5 - 0
MOD
58%
20%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |