Brescia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
15.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
USA
4 - 0
BRE
46%
21%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
LIV
5 - 3
BRE
40%
22%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1930 |
BRE
4 - 3
USC
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1930 |
MOD
2 - 1
BRE
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
BRE
2 - 0
BOL
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
MOD
1 - 1
ROM
23%
21%
56%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
MOD
2 - 0
INT
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 1930 |
USA
1 - 1
MOD
59%
20%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1930 |
MOD
2 - 1
BRE
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
MOD
5 - 1
USC
52%
22%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +2 |