Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 4-7
Brescia vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
58.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
USC
1 - 1
BRE
16%
24%
60%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 0
CRO
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
TOR
1 - 1
BRE
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
BRE
0 - 0
TER
64%
21%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
VIC
0 - 0
BRE
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
ACM
4 - 3
PAR
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
LIV
0 - 3
ACM
17%
24%
59%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
ACM
4 - 0
MES
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
INT
3 - 2
ACM
43%
26%
31%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
ACM
3 - 2
S04
74%
16%
11%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |