Brescia vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
BRE
3 - 2
LEC
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
VIC
2 - 1
BRE
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
BRE
2 - 2
ATL
39%
27%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
PIA
0 - 0
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
BRE
1 - 1
JUV
17%
24%
60%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1998 |
PAR
2 - 2
ACM
48%
27%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
ACM
1 - 0
SAM
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
LEC
0 - 0
ACM
23%
25%
52%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
ACM
3 - 1
EMP
73%
18%
8%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1998 |
ACM
0 - 0
PAR
49%
27%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |