Brescia vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
56.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
FIO
2 - 0
BRE
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1965 |
BRE
4 - 1
CAT
43%
26%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
BRE
2 - 1
MAN
59%
21%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
REG
1 - 0
BRE
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
PAL
1 - 2
BRE
35%
31%
34%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
ACM
1 - 0
USF
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1965 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ACM
16%
24%
60%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
CAG
2 - 1
ACM
20%
25%
56%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 0
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
ACM
1 - 0
VAR
81%
12%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |