Brescia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 2
BRE
51%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
BRE
0 - 3
INT
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
ROM
2 - 2
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 0
REG
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
PAL
3 - 3
BRE
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
MES
2 - 1
CAG
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ATL
2 - 1
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
MES
2 - 2
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
MES
2 - 1
INT
16%
23%
60%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
FIO
1 - 1
MES
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |