Brescia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
19.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
MOD
2 - 2
BRE
50%
28%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
BOL
2 - 1
BRE
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
BRE
1 - 1
PAD
54%
27%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
LEC
0 - 0
BRE
58%
26%
16%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
BRE
4 - 2
PAL
52%
28%
20%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
MES
2 - 0
UDI
38%
30%
32%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
PES
1 - 0
MES
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
MES
0 - 1
BOL
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
MES
3 - 2
VNZ
48%
28%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
CES
0 - 0
MES
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |